It’s that time of year again for my fearless Oscar
predictions. While I’m pretty confident in my acting categories, I’m taking a
big gamble on the Best Picture and thinking that Dune is going to get a bunch of stuff. Just as a reminder, I’m not predicting who I want to win but who I think the Academy
will vote for. From ‘smaller’ to ‘bigger’,
here we go:
LIVE ACTION SHORT
FILM
THE LONG GOODBYE
(Riz Ahmed is in it. Feel
sad for him not getting an Oscar last year.)
ANIMATED SHORT
FILM
ROBIN ROBIN
(It’s from Aardman. The
Oscars love Aardman)
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
AUDIBLE
(About a deaf
football player. Nervous of its chances if CODA wins.)
SOUND
DUNE
(I think Dune will get lots of technical categories
starting with this one.)
ORIGINAL SCORE
DUNE
(Hans Zimmer tone music
fits. Power of the Dog’s tone music
does not.)
ORIGINAL SONG
DOS ORGUITAS [ENCANTO]
(Give it to Lin Manuel-Miranda instead of Billie Eilish.)
VISUAL EFFECTS
DUNE
(They have sandworms? Was
toss-up between this and Spidey.)
MAKE-UP &
HAIRSTYLING
THE EYES OF TAMMY
FAYE
(I mean it’s right in the
title of the film.)
COSTUME DESIGN
CRUELLA
(There’s a lot of extreme
fashion in this one apparently. Haven’t seen it.)
PRODUCTION DESIGN
DUNE
(I prefer Nightmare Alley but think Dune’s
epicness will win out)
FILM EDITING
DUNE
(This often
matches with sound. Though I liked Tick,
Tick...Boom! better.)
CINEMATOGRAPHY
DUNE
(There are some epic shots
here. Power of the Dog may grab it
though)
DOCUMENTARY
FEATURE
SUMMER OF SOUL
(Go, Questlove, go!)
ANIMATED FEATURE
ENCANTO
(Its songs alone give it
the edge. Everyone will talk about Bruno.)
INTERNATIONAL FILM
DRVIE MY CAR
(Considering it’s also up
for Best Picture.)
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
CODA
(Both this & Power of the Dog use silence but CODA is far better.)
ORIGINAL
SCREENPLAY
BELFAST
(This is the Oscar that
Kenneth Branagh will finally achieve.)
BEST DIRECTOR
JANE CAMPION [THE POWER OF THE DOG]
(I think Spielberg should
get it but Campion is the favourite.)
BEST SUPPORTING
ACTRESS
ARIANA DE BOSE [WEST
SIDE STORY]
(Time to make some more
history. She was pretty awesome.)
BEST SUPPORTING
ACTOR
TROY KOTSUR [CODA]
(He was amazing in this
film, full of passion and emotion.)
BEST ACTRESS
JESSICA CHASTAIN [THE EYES OF TAMMY FAYE]
(As long as it’s not
Kristen Stewart or Penelope Cruz.)
BEST ACTOR
WILL SMITH [KING
RICHARD]
(His third nomination for
playing a non-fictional person is the charm)
BEST PICTURE
CODA
(It’s more uplifting than Power of the Dog. The SAG win also helps.)
I only got 17 out of 23 last year. We’ll see what happens this Sunday.
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